Markets news
18.05.2012
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2681 -0,27%
GBP/USD $1,5780 -0,82%
USD/CHF Chf0,9469 +0,27%
USD/JPY Y79,32 -1,27%
EUR/JPY Y100,59 -1,55%
GBP/JPY Y125,16 -2,12%
AUD/USD $0,9888 -0,23%
NZD/USD $0,7632 -0,13%
USD/CAD C$1,0196 +0,74%
00:00 G8 G8 Meetings -
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) April +0.6% +0.4%
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) April +3.3% +2.5%
12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m April +0.4% +0.3%
12:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y April +1.9% +1.9%
12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m April +0.3% +0.3%
12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y April +1.9% +1.9%
17.05.2012
Cut: Catalunya, Murcia, Andalicia and Extremadura. Outlook - negative.
The yen extended its gain against the dollar after data showed U.S. jobless claims for unemployment benefits were unchanged last week and another report showed Philadelphia- area manufacturing decreased in May.
The euro fell to a four-month low as Spain’s borrowing costs rose at an auction, stoking concern that the region’s financial contagion is spreading from Greece.
Europe’s shared currency declined against most of its major counterparts as the European Central Bank said it will temporarily stop lending to some Greek banks.
Spain sold bonds due in January 2015 at an average yield of 4.375%, compared with 2.89% when they were last auctioned in April. Investors bought bonds maturing in July 2015 at 4.876%, compared with 4.037% on May 3 and bonds due April 2016 at 5.106%.
Moody’s Investors Service is set to downgrade the credit ratings of Spanish banks.
The pound was down after the published yesterday quarterly inflation report the Bank of England, in which the British central bank has lowered projections for economic growth in the country and raised its forecast for inflation. Against this background of increased market participants' expectations regarding the continuation of the Bank of England policy of quantitative easing.
EUR/USD $1.2650, $1.2790, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900
USD/JPY Y79.75, Y79.50, Y80.65, Y80.75, Y78.50
GBP/USD $1.5930, $1.5950, $1.6100
EUR/GBP stg0.8020, stg0.8050, stg0.8060, stg0.8085
USD/CHF Chf0.9350
AUD/USD $0.9900, $0.9850
Revenue grew 8.6% to $112.3B and beat by $1.8B. Expects Q2 EPS of $1.13-$1.18 vs. consensus $1.16. Shares were +1.99% to $61.18 premarket.
“370k jobless claims are closer to levels in March when the labor market generated roughly 150k net new jobs. Thus May employment report is likely to confirm the slower trend in hiring that emerged in March."
The euro fell as Spain’s borrowing costs rose at an auction, stoking concern that the region’s financial contagion is spreading from Greece.
Spain sold bonds due in January 2015 at an average yield of 4.375%, compared with 2.89% when they were last auctioned in April. Investors bought bonds maturing in July 2015 at 4.876%, compared with 4.037% on May 3 and bonds due April 2016 at 5.106%.
Borrowing costs in Europe’s most-indebted nations are rising amid speculation that Greece will leave the 17-nation euro area as political parties opposed to the terms of two international bailouts polled strongly in inconclusive May 6 elections. A fresh vote has been set for June 17.
EUR/USD: the pair decreased below $1,2700.

GBP/USD: the pair fell in $1,5830 area.

USD/JPY: the pair was limited Y80,15-Y80,40.

At 1400GMT by US leading indicators and the Philadelphia Fed survey.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2810/20, $1.2800, $1.2780, $1.2750/60, $1.2720, $1.2695/705
Bids $1.2655/50, $1.2625
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0040/50, $1.0020/30, $1.0015, $1.0000, $0.9980/85, $0.9960/65
Bids $0.9900, $0.9880, $0.9870, $0.9850
EUR/JPY
Offers Y103.30/40, Y103.00, Y102.85/90, Y102.70/75, Y102.50, Y102.35/40
Bids Y101.50, Y101.00, Y100.50
USD/JPY
Offers Y81.40/45, Y81.20/25, Y81.00, Y80.85/90, Y80.65/70, Y80.35/40
Bids Y80.15, Y80.10/00, Y79.85/80, Y79.50, Y79.40
Resistance 3: Y81.80 (50.0 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40, Apr 20 high)
Resistance 2: Y81.20 (38,2 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40)
Resistance 1: Y80.55/60 (area of May 2-3 highs and on May 16 high)
Current price: Y80.17
Support 1: Y80.10 (resistance line from Mar 21 broken earlier)
Support 2: Y79.90 (МА (200) for Н1)
Support 3: Y79.70 (area of May 11-14 lows)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9600 (area of high of January)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9500 (psychological level)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9470 (session high, May 16 high)
Current price: Chf0.9461
Support 1: Chf0.9410/00 (area of session low, May 16 low, and support lines from May 1)
Support 2: Chf0.9330 (May 15 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9300 (May 9 and 11 highs, May 14 low)

Комментарии: пара остается в области линии сопротивления от ноября 2010 года. На D1 индикатор RSI поднялся выше отметки 70 пунктов, что является сигналом перекупленности и указывает на высокие шансы начала коррекции.
Resistance 3 : $1.6110/20 (May 14-15 highs)
Resistance 2 : $1.5990 (intraday high on May 16)
Resistance 1 : $1.5930 (session high)
Current price: $1.5853
Support 1 : $1.5820 (Apr 16 low, МА (200) and МА (100) for Н1)
Support 2 : $1.5800 (low of April)
Support 3 : $1.5770 (Mar 21 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2900 (May 14 high, МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 2 : $1.2870 (May 15 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.2750 (area of session high, May 16 high and resistance line from May 11)
Current price: $1.2695
Support 1 : $1.2680 (May 16 low)
Support 2 : $1.2620 (low of January)
Support 3 : $1.2600/90 (low of August’2008)

Комментарии: на D1 индикатор RSI поднялся выше отметки 70 пунктов, что является сигналом перепроданности и указывает на высокие шансы начала коррекции.
EUR/USD $1.2650, $1.2790, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900
USD/JPY Y79.75, Y79.50, Y80.65, Y80.75, Y78.50
GBP/USD $1.5930, $1.5950, $1.6100
EUR/GBP stg0.8020, stg0.8050, stg0.8060, stg0.8085
USD/CHF Chf0.9350
AUD/USD $0.9900, $0.9850
Tesoro sold E2.49bln vs target E1.5bln-E2.5bln
- E371.8ln of 4.40% Jan 2015 Obligacion, cover 4.47 vs 2.41
- E1.024bn of 4.00% July 2015 Bono, cover 3.02 vs 2.88
- E1.098ln of 3.25% Apr 2016 Bono, cover 2.38
00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday -
00:00 Germany Bank holiday -
00:00 France Bank holiday -
01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation May +3.3% +3.1%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) March -1.6% +1.1% +1.3%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) March +1.5% +13.9% +14.2%
The dollar retreated from a four- month high against the euro after minutes from the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed some policy makers said further easing may be needed should the economy lose momentum. Several Fed policy makers said a loss of momentum in growth or increased risks to their economic outlook could warrant additional action to keep the recovery on track, according to minutes of the FOMC’s April 24-25 meeting released yesterday in Washington. Central bankers last month affirmed their plan to hold interest rates near zero at least through late 2014 as they sought to push down an unemployment rate that has stayed above 8 percent for more than three years.
The yen weakened against the majority of its 16 major peers amid speculation the Bank of Japan may add stimulus next week. Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said today it’s important for the central bank to support growth. Demand for the yen was hampered amid speculation BOJ policy makers may ease monetary policy when they meet on May 23 after the central bank failed to buy as much government debt as it planned yesterday, the first time that’s happened since the the program was set up in October 2010 to provide liquidity to the market.
Demand for the euro was limited as Greece’s leaders prepare for a second election, with the nation’s future in the currency bloc and an international bailout at stake.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars strengthened, snapping four-day declines.
EUR/USD: the pair rose to yesterday's high.
GBP/USD: the pair traded in a range $1.5905-$1.5930.
USD/JPY: the pair fell to yesterday's low.
Looking ahead, it is Ascension day Thursday, keeping the European calendar quiet. US data starts at 1230GMT, when initial jobless claims are expected to fall slightly 365,000 in the May 12 employment survey week. At 1400GMT by US leading indicators, the Philadelphia Fed survey and E-commerce totals data.
Yesterday the euro fell to a four-month low against the dollar after the European Central Bank said it will temporarily stop lending to some Greek banks and as the nation’s leaders prepare for a second election.
The euro dropped for a fourth day versus the greenback as the ECB said it will push the responsibility for lending onto Greece’s central bank until the banks have sufficiently boosted their capital.
The pound fell the most in a month against the dollar as the Bank of England said U.K. growth will stay “subdued” in the near term.
The dollar pared gains against the yen after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting showed some policy makers said further easing may be needed if the economic recovery falters.
EUR/USD: yesterday the pair traded about May 15 low $1.2720.
GBP/USD: yesterday the pair fell below $1.5900.
USD/JPY: yesterday the pair rose, updated a week’s high.
Looking ahead, it is Ascension day Thursday, keeping the European calendar quiet. US data starts at 1230GMT, when initial jobless claims are expected to fall slightly 365,000 in the May 12 employment survey week. At 1400GMT by US leading indicators, the Philadelphia Fed survey and E-commerce totals data.
Resistance 3: Y81.45 (Apr 27 high)
Resistance 2: Y81.00 (psychological level)
Resistance 1: Y80.50/55 (area of May 2-3 high)
The current price: Y80.25
Support 1: Y80.15 (May 16 low)
Support 2: Y79.95 (high of the Asian session on May 15)
Support 3: Y79.65 (May 14 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9525 (Jan 16 low)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9495 (Jan 18 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9470 (May 16 high)
The current price: Chf0.9424
Support 1: Chf0.9410 (May 16 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9375 (high of the Asian session on May 15)
Support 3: Chf0.9330 (May 15 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.6050 (May 14 low)
Resistance 2 : $1.5985 (May 16 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.5855 (high of the American session on May 16)
The current price: $1.5913
Support 1 : $1.5885 (May 16 low)
Support 2 : $1.5860 (Apr 17 low)
Support 3 : $1.5805/10 (area of Apr 5-10 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2870 (May 15 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.2815 (low of the Asian session on May 15)
Resistance 1 : $1.2760 (May 16 high)
The current price: $1.2742
Support 1 : $1.2680 (May 16 low)
Support 2 : $1.2650/60 (area of Jan 11 and 17 low)
Support 3 : $1.2625 (low of Jan)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2715 -0,14%
GBP/USD $1,5910 -0,55%
USD/CHF Chf0,9443 +0,12%
USD/JPY Y80,33 +0,12%
EUR/JPY Y102,15 -0,02%
GBP/JPY Y127,81 -0,41%
AUD/USD $0,9911 -0,26%
NZD/USD $0,7642 -0,64%
USD/CAD C$1,0121 +0,55%
00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday -
00:00 Germany Bank holiday -
00:00 France Bank holiday -
01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation May +3.3%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) March -1.6% +1.1%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) March +1.5% +13.9%
12:30 Canada Foreign investment in Canadian securities March 12.5 9.34
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m March +1.6% +0.4%
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 367 370
14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey May 8.5 10.6
14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators April +0.3% +0.1%
16:35 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks
16.05.2012
FOMC mins seem to confirm an upped FOMC reaction function as Bernake said, as talk on possible add'l QE added adherents.
On inflation, recent CPI advance reflected energy but oil futures were down.
FOMC discussed usefulness of simple monetary policy rules or providing more clarity or more info, but drew no conclusions and referred this to its
Communications Subcomm.
FOMC emphasized "forward guidance is conditional on economic developments" and that the '14 date could be revised "should there be a significant change in econ outlook."
Greek exit from eurozone not for the ECB to decide
EUR/USD $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900, $1.2930
USD/JPY Y79.60, Y79.80, Y80.00, Y80.50
GBP/USD $1.6050, $1.6100
USD/CHF Chf0.9300
AUD/USD $0.9950, $1.0000, $1.0020
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6090/95, $1.6055/65, $1.6020, $1.5990/000, $1.5965/75, $1.5930/40
Bids $1.5880, $1.5850
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0065/70, $1.0040/50, $1.0020/30, $1.0015, $1.0000, $0.9980/85, $0.9945/50
Bids $0.9870, $0.9850, $0.9800, $0.9750, $0.9730/25
USD/JPY
Offers Y81.50, Y81.40/45, Y81.20/25, Y81.00, Y80.85/90, Y80.60/70, Y80.50/55
Bids Y80.20/15, Y80.10/00, Y79.85/80, Y79.65/60, Y79.50, Y79.40, Y79.25
EUR/JPY
Offers Y103.50, Y103.30/40, Y103.00, Y102.85/90, Y102.50
Bids Y101.95/90, Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.00
Resistance 3: Y81.80 (50.0 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40, Apr 20 high)
Resistance 2: Y81.20 (38,2 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40)
Resistance 1: Y80.55/60 (area of May 2-3 highs)
Current price: Y80.49
Support 1: Y80.20 (resistance line from Mar 21 broken earlier)
Support 2: Y79.90 (МА (200) for Н1)
Support 3: Y79.70 (area of May 11-14 lows)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9600 (area of high of January)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9500 (psychological level)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9470 (session high)
Current price: Chf0.9442
Support 1: Chf0.9420 (session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9370 (support line from May 1)
Support 3: Chf0.9330 (May 15 low)

Комментарии: пара тестирует линию сопротивления от ноября 2010 года. На D1 индикатор RSI поднялся выше отметки 70 пунктов, что является сигналом перепроданности и указывает на высокие шансы начала коррекции.
Resistance 3 : $1.6110/20 (May 14-15 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.6040 (38,2 % FIBO $1,6300-$ 1,5890)
Resistance 1 : $1.5990 (intraday high)
Current price: $1.5918
Support 1 : $1.5890 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.5860 (Apr 17 low)
Support 3 : $1.5820 (Apr 16 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2870 (May 15 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.2800 (resistance line from May 11)
Resistance 1 : $1.2740 (session high)
Current price: $1.2719
Support 1 : $1.2680 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.2620 (low of January)
Support 3 : $1.2600/90 (low of August’2008)

CPI seen around 1.6% in 2 years; 1.8% in 3 yrs.
Sees Rates at 0.6% in Q2 2013; 1.0% by start 2015.
Growth seen subdued in near term, then gradual recovery.
The BOE Inflation Report shows inflation well below its 2% target in 2 years time despite its decision to leave the stock of official asset purchases (QE) unchanged at its May MPC meeting. Inflation is put around 3% in 3 years while underlying growth remains subdued through the near term, with the euro zone, fiscal consolidation and tight credit constraining expansion. A gradual recovery stays the mainline scenario, but the euro zone crisis remains a 'significant threat' to that. The committee says that the risks of inflation being above or below 2% by the end of the forecast period are broadly balanced.
EUR/USD $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900, $1.2930
USD/JPY Y79.60, Y79.80, Y80.00, Y80.50
GBP/USD $1.6050, $1.6100
USD/CHF Chf0.9300
AUD/USD $0.9950, $1.0000, $1.0020
00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence May -1.6% 0.8%
01:30 Australia Wage Price Index, q/q Quarter I +1.0% +0.9% +0.9%
01:30 Australia Wage Price Index, y/y Quarter I +3.6% +3.5% +3.6%
The euro fell to the lowest level in almost four months after Greece’s political leaders failed to form a ruling coalition, deepening speculation the country will have to leave the currency bloc. Demand for the euro was damped before Greek leaders seek agreement today on an interim government that will schedule new elections. New elections in Greece may be scheduled as early as June 10 after President Karolos Papoulias failed to broker a governing coalition in meetings yesterday with Pasok party head Evangelos Venizelos and other political leaders. The new ballot will follow an inconclusive May 6 vote that produced no clear majority.
The Dollar Index extended its longest stretch of daily advances on record as Asian stocks continued a global rout and before the Federal Reserve releases minutes of its April meeting. The Fed will release minutes of its April 25 meeting later today. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said after the most recent meeting of policy makers that he’s prepared to “do more” to boost the economic recovery and ensure that inflation remains close to target. Officials have said borrowing costs are likely to remain “exceptionally low” at least through late 2014.
The yen extended yesterday’s decline against the dollar after data from Japan’s Cabinet Office showed machinery orders decreased 2.8 percent in March after climbing a revised 2.8 percent in the previous month. The median economist estimate signaled at 3.5 percent drop. Orders can swing between gains and declines depending on the timing of major projects.
The New Zealand dollar declined for a fourth day versus the greenback after after Auckland-based Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd., the world’s largest dairy exporter, said prices for whole- milk powder for July delivery fell to the lowest since August 2009, according to a trade-weighted index. The so-called kiwi lost 0.5 percent to 76.57 U.S. cents.
EUR/USD: the pair lowered to $1.2700.
GBP/USD: the pair continued yesterday's falling.
USD/JPY: the pair gain above yesterday's high.
European data for Wednesday starts at 0600GMT with German wholesale prices data and also ACEA new car registrations data. EMU data at 0900GMT includes the March trade balance as well as the final reading for April HICP. At 1300GMT, ECB President Mario Draghi is due to give the welcome address at an ECB colloquium in honour of Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo, in Frankfurt. The Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report is due at 0930GMT with Governor Mervyn King leading the usual press conference. US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA mortgage applications data, while at 1230GMT, the pace of housing starts is expected to rise to 685,000 in April after slowing in the previous two months. Canadian manufacturing data is due at the same time. US data continues at 1315GMT when industrial production is expected to rise 0.6% in April after holding steady in February and March. The weekly EIA weekly crude oil stocks data is then due, at 1430GMT. At 1545GMT, World Bank President Robert Zoellick speaks at the Economic Club of Washington, while at 1630GMT, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speaks at the Lousiville branch of the Bank on the subject of "The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy." Later, at 1800GMT, the latest Federal Open Market Committee Minutes are released.
Yesterday the euro fell to the lowest in almost four months versus the dollar as talks to form a Greek government failed, fueling concern the nation may leave the shared currency and boosting investor demand for safety. Greek President Karolos Papoulias’ meeting in Athens with political leaders failed to produce a government after an inconclusive May 6 vote. He called for a meeting to form a caretaker government to lead the country until the vote. A second election threatened to extend the country’s political gridlock and reignited speculation Greece will renege on its pledges to cut spending, required by the terms of its 240 billion euros ($306 billion) in bailouts. It added to bets Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis will worsen.
The euro gained earlier after the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said gross domestic product in the region stagnated in the first quarter compared with the prior three months. Germany’s 0.5 percent expansion at five times the pace economists had estimated helped offset weaker GDP in the euro area’s peripheral economies.
Sterling reached the strongest level against the euro since November 2008 as investors sought an alternative to the 17- nation currency. The pound gained 0.1 percent, erasing earlier losses, to 79.60 pence per euro before trading little changed at 79.72 pence.
EUR/USD: yesterday the pair fell to a figure, lowered below $1.2800.
GBP/USD: yesterday the pair fell to a figure, lowered below $1.6000.
USD/JPY: yesterday the pair rose above Y80.00.
European data for Wednesday starts at 0600GMT with German wholesale prices data and also ACEA new car registrations data. EMU data at 0900GMT includes the March trade balance as well as the final reading for April HICP. At 1300GMT, ECB President Mario Draghi is due to give the welcome address at an ECB colloquium in honour of Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo, in Frankfurt. The Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report is due at 0930GMT with Governor Mervyn King leading the usual press conference. US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA mortgage applications data, while at 1230GMT, the pace of housing starts is expected to rise to 685,000 in April after slowing in the previous two months. Canadian manufacturing data is due at the same time. US data continues at 1315GMT when industrial production is expected to rise 0.6% in April after holding steady in February and March. The weekly EIA weekly crude oil stocks data is then due, at 1430GMT. At 1545GMT, World Bank President Robert Zoellick speaks at the Economic Club of Washington, while at 1630GMT, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speaks at the Lousiville branch of the Bank on the subject of "The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy." Later, at 1800GMT, the latest Federal Open Market Committee Minutes are released.
Resistance 3: Y81.45 (Apr 27 high)
Resistance 2: Y81.00 (psychological level)
Resistance 1: Y80.50/55 (area of May 2-3 high)
The current price: Y80.36
Support 1: Y80.15 (session low)
Support 2: Y79.95 (high of the Asian session on May 15)
Support 3: Y79.65 (May 14 low)
Resistance 3: Chf0.9525 (Jan 16 low)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9495 (Jan 18 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9455 (session high)
The current price: Chf0.9443
Support 1: Chf0.9425 (session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9375 (high of the Asian session on May 15)
Support 3: Chf0.9330 (May 15 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.6115/20 (area of May 14-15 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.6050 (May 14 low)
Resistance 1 : $1.6000 (session high)
The current price: $1.5963
Support 1 : $1.5935 (Apr 11 high)
Support 2 : $1.5895 (Apr 18 low)
Support 3 : $1.5860 (Apr 17 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2870 (May 15 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.2815 (low of the Asian session on May 15)
Resistance 1 : $1.2740 (session high)
The current price: $1.2708
Support 1 : $1.2700 (psychological level)
Support 2 : $1.2650/60 (area of Jan 11 and 17 low)
Support 3 : $1.2625 (low of January)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2733 -0,72%
GBP/USD $1,5997 -0,62%
USD/CHF Chf0,9432 +0,73%
USD/JPY Y80,23 +0,46%
EUR/JPY Y102,17 -0,25%
GBP/JPY Y128,34 -0,15%
AUD/USD $0,9937 -0,18%
NZD/USD $0,7691 -1,03%
USD/CAD C$1,0065 +0,37%
00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence May -1.6%
01:30 Australia Wage Price Index, q/q Quarter I +1.0% +0.9%
01:30 Australia Wage Price Index, y/y Quarter I +3.6% +3.5%
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count April 3.6 4.9
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate April 4.9% 5.0%
08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate March 8.3% 8.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y March +1.1% +1.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y March +1.6% +1.4%
09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) May 2.1
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI April +1.3% +0.5%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (finally) April +2.7% +2.6%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y April +1.6% +1.5%
09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. March 3.7 4.3
09:30 United Kingdom BOE Gov King Speaks -
09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report Quarter II
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications May +1.7%
12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) March -0.3% +0.5%
12:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln April 0.747 0.730
12:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln April 0.654 0.680
13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) April 0.0% +0.6%
13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization April 78.6% 78.9%
14:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks -
14:30 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change -
18:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes -
20:00 U.S. Treasury Currency Report May
22:00 New Zealand ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) April -1.0%
22:45 New Zealand PPI Input (QoQ) Quarter I +0.5% 0.0%
22:45 New Zealand PPI Output (QoQ) Quarter I +0.1% +0.2%
23:50 Japan GDP, q/q (preliminary) Quarter I -0.2% +0.9%
15.05.2012
The euro fell to the lowest in almost four months versus the dollar as talks to form a Greek government failed, fueling concern the nation may leave the shared currency and boosting investor demand for safety. Greek President Karolos Papoulias’ meeting in Athens today with political leaders failed to produce a government after an inconclusive May 6 vote. He called for a meeting tomorrow to form a caretaker government to lead the country until the vote. A second election threatened to extend the country’s political gridlock and reignited speculation Greece will renege on its pledges to cut spending, required by the terms of its 240 billion euros ($306 billion) in bailouts. It added to bets Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis will worsen.
The euro gained earlier after the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said gross domestic product in the region stagnated in the first quarter compared with the prior three months. Germany’s 0.5 percent expansion at five times the pace economists had estimated helped offset weaker GDP in the euro area’s peripheral economies.
Sterling reached the strongest level against the euro since November 2008 as investors sought an alternative to the 17- nation currency. The pound gained 0.1 percent, erasing earlier losses, to 79.60 pence per euro before trading little changed at 79.72 pence.
EUR/USD $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900, $1.2925, $1.2950
USD/JPY Y79.50, Y79.55, Y79.75, Y80.00
GBP/USD $1.6100
AUD/USD $0.9975, $1.0000, $1.0150
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3000, $1.2980, $1.2920/50, $1.2870/90
Bids $1.2800, $1.2780/75
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6200/05, $1.6150/55, $1.6115/25
Bids $1.6010/00, $1.5980, $1.5965/60
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0125/30, $1.0100, $1.0080/85, $1.0065/70, $1.0040/50, $1.0020/30
Bids $0.9965/60, $0.9950, $0.9920/10, $0.9885/80, $0.9850
USD/JPY
Offers Y80.85/90, Y80.60/70, Y80.50/55, Y80.20, Y80.00
Bids Y79.85/80, Y79.50, Y79.40, Y79.25, Y79.00
EUR/JPY
Offers Y103.80, Y103.70, Y103.55/60, Y103.50, Y103.30/40, Y103.00
Bids Y102.60/55, Y102.40/35, Y102.20, Y102.00, Y101.85/80
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8080, stg0.8060/65, stg0.8050, stg0.8025/30
Bids stg0.7950, stg0.7925/20
Resistance 3: Y81.20 (38,2 % FIBO Y84,20-Y79,40)
Resistance 2: Y80.55/60 (area of maxima on May, 2-3nd)
Resistance 1: Y80.20 (a maximum on May, 14th, a line of resistance from March, 23rd))
The current price: Y79.92
Support 1: Y79.70 (area of May 11-14 lows)
Support 2: Y79.40 (May 9 low)
Support 3: Y79.15 (61,8 % FIBO Y76.00-Y84.20)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9500 (psychological level)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9400 (psychological level, resistance line from November’2010)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9370/80 (area of session high, May 14 high and Jan 23 high)
Current price: Chf0.9344
Support 1: Chf0.9330 (session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9300 (earlier resistance, area May 9 and 11 highs)
Support 3: Chf0.9255 (May 10 low, МА (200) for Н1)

Resistance 3 : $1.6150 (resistance line from May 7)
Resistance 2 : $1.6110/20 (session high, May 14 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.6080 (intraday high)
Current price: $1.6049
Support 1 : $1.6040 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.6000 (61,8 % FIBO $1,5820-$ 1,6300, Apr 19 low, psychological level, support line from Jan 13)
Support 3 : $1.5900 (psychological level)
