09.05.2008 11:02

Forex market: Thursday results

The euro rose from an eight-week low against the dollar after European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet said inflation remains the bank's top priority, signaling policy makers won't cut interest rates soon.
Inflation will stay high ``for a rather protracted period,'' Trichet said at a press conference in Athens following the ECB's decision to keep its main refinancing rate at 4 percent today. The yen rose against all of the major currencies on concern slowing global growth will prompt investors to sell higher-yielding holdings funded in Japan.
``The ECB's hawkish stance is still moderately bullish for the euro,'' said Dustin Reid, a senior currency strategist at ABN Amro Bank NV in Chicago. ``The ECB is in no rush to cut rates.
The region's 15-nation currency has gained 5.6 percent against the dollar this year. The yen rose 0.8 percent to 103.93 versus the U.S. currency, from 104.73 yesterday. It was up 0.6 percent to 160.20 against the euro, from 161.23.
``There's renewed worry that global growth just might not hold up,'' said Samarjit Shankar, director of global strategy for the foreign-exchange group in Boston at Bank of New York Mellon, the world's largest custodial bank, with more than $20 trillion in assets under administration. ``The euro zone is slowing down, while the ECB sticks to its hawkish tone.''
The pound was little changed against the dollar after the Bank of England kept its lending target at 5 percent. Sterling bought $1.9541, compared with $1.9539 yesterday.
The ECB has held interest rates at a six-year high to curb inflation. Consumer prices in the 15 countries that share the euro rose 3.3 percent last month from a year earlier after increasing 3.6 percent in March, the most in almost 16 years. The ECB, which aims to keep inflation just below 2 percent, has left rates unchanged since June of last year.
``The economic fundamentals of the euro area are sound, with ``moderate but ongoing GDP growth,'' Trichet said after the rate decision. ``However, the level of uncertainty resulting from the turmoil remains unusually high.''
The European Union reported yesterday that retail sales declined 1.6 percent in March from a year earlier, the biggest drop since the data began in 1995. The region's common currency has fallen 3.9 percent against the dollar since rising to a record $1.6019 on April 22.
``If the ECB begins easing to help support growth, the markets will focus on the narrowing interest differentials and sell off the euro,'' said Paresh Upadhyaya, a portfolio manager who helps oversee about $50 billion in currency assets at Putnam Investments in Boston. ``If inflation stays high and the economic data weaken, the euro also sells off.''






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