19.06.2008 09:55

Forex market:Wednesday results

The dollar was steady on Wednesday as investors adjusted their interest rate outlooks for the United States and the euro zone after conflicting economic data and monetary authorities toned down threats of tighter policy.Competing central bank rhetoric was likely to make trading conditions more volatile in the days ahead, analysts said.
The dollar rose to near a four-month high against the yen on bets the Federal Reserve will increase borrowing costs later this year while the Bank of Japan holds its target at the lowest level among major economies.
Japan's currency weakened as the Bank of Japan's policy meeting minutes from May indicated ``considerable downside risks.'' U.K. pound stayed lower against the dollar and euro after minutes from the Bank of England's June meeting showed policy makers voted 8-1 to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged. Policy maker David Blanchflower voted for a quarter-point cut, arguing evidence of slowing growth ``more than outweighed'' the news about short-term inflation.


EUR/USD: торговался в диапазоне $1.5460/1.5540.
GBP/USD: fell to $1.9476 before to rebound till $1.9600/10.
USD/JPY: tested offers near Y108.40, recoiling in a result to Y107.80.

UK data at 0830GMT sees the May retail sales data, which is expected to show a 0.2% increase on the month and a rise of 4.2% on the year. Central bank meetings are taking place at the Swiss National Bank, which announces its interest rate decision at 1200GMT (publishing the quarterly monetary policy assessment at the same time) and the ECB. US data also starts at 1230GMT, when initial claims are expected to fall 9,000 to 375,000 in the June 14 employment survey week.
US data continues at 1400GMT, with the Philly Fed Business OutlookSurvey for June and leading indicators. The Philadelphia Fed index is expected to rise to a reading of -11.4 in June, yet another month indicating outright contraction. The leading indicators index is expected to hold steady in May on the positive impact of a steeper yield curve and rising stock prices.






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