23.06.2008 12:49

STOCKS: weekly review

Asian stocks fell, dragging the benchmark index to an 11-week low, as commodities producers and traders declined along with rubber, corn, zinc and platinum.
Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Australia's second-largest oil explorer, slumped after higher Chinese fuel prices yesterday sent crude oil to its largest retreat in almost three months. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's largest mining company, fell for a second day. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. led Chinese share gains on optimism refining losses will narrow.
About half of Asia's benchmark indexes fell, including Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average, which dropped 1.3 percent to 13,942.08. China's CSI 300 Index jumped 2.8 percent. India's Sensitive Index fell as much as 2.6 percent after the nation's inflation rate accelerated to the fastest in 13 year


European stocks fell last week, sending the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index to a three-month low, as analysts forecast more losses at banks, carmakers said the market was deteriorating and oil jumped more than $4 a barrel.
UBS AG and Deutsche Bank AG declined for a third day as Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. cut earnings estimates for the banks. HBOS Plc sank below the price of its rights offer after Standard & Poor's cut its credit outlook for the bank. Fiat SpA dropped to the lowest since 2006 after forecasting a ``disastrous'' car market in Italy. Porsche SE retreated for the first time in four days as crude climbed above $136.
National benchmark indexes decreased in all of the 16 western European markets that were open. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 slipped 1.5 percent. Germany's DAX lost 2.1 percent, while France's CAC 40 sank 1.8 percent.
UBS slid 3.3 percent to 23.08 francs. Deutsche Bank AG, Germany's biggest bank, lost 3.1 percent to 58.62 euros.
UBS may report $5.5 billion in second-quarter writedowns, related mostly to residential real estate and monoline exposure, leading to a net loss of 2.2 billion Swiss francs ($2.1 billion), London-based analysts Jon Peace and Chintan Joshi said in a note to clients today.
Deutsche Bank may write down 1.9 billion euros ($3 billion) in the quarter, they said.
Lehman now forecasts a loss per share of 4.17 francs at UBS this year, compared with an earlier estimate of 3.15 francs. The estimate for Deutsche Bank was lowered to 4.58 euros from 5 euros.
``We expect an extended period of revenue weakness for the investment banks,'' London-based analyst Jon Peace wrote in a note to clients.


U.S. stock indexes fell the most in a month last week as Fifth Third Bancorp's dividend cut and worse-than-estimated results from FedEx Corp. renewed concern that mortgage losses and a slowing economy will prolong the profit slump.

The stock market, and financials tanked on Tuesday despite Goldman's large beat. Ironically, the market sank when Goldman warned that U.S. banks may need to raise $65 billion in fresh capital in response to the subprime fallout. (U.S. financial companies have raised $159 billion so far).

Sure enough, the following day regional bank Fifth Third Bank (FITB) said it is going to raise $1 billion in fresh capital, sell $1 billion in assets and cut is dividend by 66% in an effort to shore up its balance sheet. Regional banks fell 9% for the week.

Citigroup compounded the financial sector's decline on Thursday, after announcing that it will face another barrage of write-downs in its second quarter, although the total amount should be less than its $19 billion first quarter write-down due decreased subprime exposure. Citi did note, however, that it will face a write-off on its bond insurer exposure similar to its first quarter amount ($1.5 billion), citing the widening in credit spreads of bond insurers -- which indicates the struggling bond insurers might not be able to pay claims on the assets they back up.

On a related note, Moody's cut its Aaa credit rating and put a negative outlook on the insurance units of both Ambac Financial (ABK) and MBIA (MBI ). Moody's lowered MBIA's unit by five notches and Ambac's unit by three notches, citing the difficulty the companies are having in writing new business and their limited ability to raise new capital.

Financials tumbled 4.7% for the week and is at its lowest level in five years.FedEx (FDX) fell 6% after reporting quarterly earnings that missed the consensus estimate. The Memphis, Tenn.-based company issued fiscal year 2009 earnings guidance well below expectations, citing sluggish U.S. demand and record energy prices.

GM retreated 16 percent to $13.79 and Ford dropped 7.3 percent to $5.81. S&P placed the carmakers' credit ratings, already five levels below investment grade, on negative review. While the carmakers will be able to pay their debts this year, their cash may shrink to ``undesirable levels'' by the end of 2009, S&P said.
Ford said losses will widen this year because $4-a-gallon gasoline is causing U.S. sales of large pickup trucks to plunge. Ford Motor Credit, its company's most consistently profitable unit, will also have a loss, the company said.






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