30.06.2008 10:22

Stock market : weekly review


Asian stocks fell for a third week, ending the regional benchmark's worst first half in 16 years, as record oil prices dimmed earnings prospects and concern grew that credit market losses haven't reached an end.
Toyota Motor Corp., the world's second-largest automaker, led declines after saying surging gasoline prices may crimp demand for cars. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. fell as Citigroup Inc. prepared to cut jobs and UBS AG forecast the U.S. bank will write down more assets. Brambles Ltd., the world's largest supplier of industrial pallets, advanced in Australia after saying it expects ``solid'' profit growth.
Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average sank 2.9 percent this week to 12,544.36, extending its losing streak to a seventh day, the longest since November. New Zealand's NZX 50 Index fell to its lowest since December 2005, dropping 1.7 percent to 3,226.91 after the economy shrank in the first quarter, putting the country on the brink of its first recession in 10 years.
U.S. stocks tumbled on June 26, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its worst June since the Great Depression, as higher oil, credit-market writedowns and a slowing economy threatened to extend a yearlong profit slump.
Toyota, the world's second-largest carmaker, tumbled 6.3 percent to 5,070 yen this week. The company said it may cut its 2008 sales target to reflect slowing demand in the U.S. Hyundai Motor Co., South Korea's largest automaker, fell 7.3 percent to 72,500 won this week.
Automakers also fell after Japan's May core consumer prices climbed 1.5 percent from a year earlier after rising 0.9 percent in April. Crude oil surpassed $141 for the first time as a weaker dollar spurred investment in commodities.
Matsushita Electric Industrial Co., the world's largest consumer-electronics maker, lost 4.6 percent to 2,295 yen this week. Samsung Electronics Co., Asia's biggest mobile-phone maker, slid 3.7 percent to 643,000 won, the lowest since April 1, after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said second-quarter operating profit will be ``weaker than expected'' and cut its price estimate by 3.2 percent.

European stocks fell, heading for the worst first half since at least 1987, as investors speculated record oil prices and higher borrowing costs will erode earnings.

Daimler AG and Renault SA retreated after crude topped $142 a barrel. Carrefour SA declined as Europe's biggest retailer cut its sales outlook, while Ericsson AB slumped after its mobile- phone venture with Sony Corp. scaled back forecasts for the second time this year. Barclays Plc and Deutsche Bank AG slipped as analysts said the banks may need more capital.
Analysts have slashed earnings estimates as confidence in the economy wanes. Earnings for companies in the Stoxx 600 are projected to fall 0.5 percent this year, down from 11 percent growth forecast at the end of 2007, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
European business confidence dropped more than economists forecast this month, indicating the economy is continuing to cool, the European Commission said today.
``It could get worse before it gets better,'' Lucy MacDonald, London-based chief investment officer of global equities at RCM Ltd., which has $100 billion, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. ``There is more concern about growth generally, inflation and no help from interest rates. Weakness is going to be more widespread.''
National indexes declined in 14 of the 18 western European markets. France's CAC 40 fell 0.7 percent, and Germany's DAX slipped 0.6 percent. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 added 0.2 percent.
European Central Bank council member Yves Mersch said the bank will do whatever is needed to contain inflation in the 15- nation euro region. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet reiterated on June 25 that policy makers may raise their key rate from a six-year high next month to curb price increases.
Fed policy makers kept rates unchanged this week, saying ``upside risks'' to prices have increased.
Stocks pared losses after a report showed consumer spending rose in the U.S. more than analysts estimated in May as tax rebates propelled the biggest gain in incomes almost three years.
Daimler, the world's second-largest maker of luxury cars, slipped 2.9 percent to 39.88 euros. Renault, France's second- biggest carmaker, dropped 2.7 percent to 51.49 euros.
Oil climbed as much as $2.62, or 1.9 percent, to $142.26, after jumping more than $5 yesterday, as a weaker dollar spurred investment in commodities. Oil has soared almost 50 percent in 2008. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analyst Arjun N. Murti estimates it may rise to between $150 and $200 a barrel within two years.
Total SA, Europe's largest oil refiner, climbed 2 percent to 52.91 euros. Royal Dutch Shell Plc, the region's biggest oil producer, advanced 1.5 percent to 2,015 pence.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's largest mining company, added 3.7 percent to 1,875 pence. Anglo American Plc, the second- biggest, jumped 2.8 percent to 3,396 pence.
Gold rose to the highest in a month as record energy costs boost demand for the precious metal as a hedge against inflation. Silver also gained.
Carrefour dropped 7.8 percent to 34.91 euros as it said operating profit will increase at about the same pace as sales this year, six weeks after saying earnings would exceed the pace of revenue growth.
European retail sales plunged in June as soaring fuel and food prices hit consumers' budgets, prompting stores to cut jobs and lose confidence about their prospects, the Bloomberg purchasing managers index showed.

U.S. stocks slumped last week, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the brink of a bear market, on mounting concern that writedowns and record oil prices will keep eroding profit and economic growth.
JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp. led financial stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to the fourth week of declines, the longest streak since 2005. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended investors sell bank shares because credit losses will linger into 2009. United Parcel Service Inc. fell the most since July 2006 after saying profit will miss its prior forecast because fuel costs and an ``anemic'' economy reduced demand for air shipments.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 3 percent to 1,278.38, a three-month low. The Dow average retreated 4.2 percent to 11,346.51 and needs to fall another 0.1 percent to complete a bear-market decline of 20 percent from its October record. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 3.8 percent to 2,315.63.
``The market is dealing with anxiety about further losses and also coming to grips that we're in a significantly slower period of economic growth,'' said Kevin Cronin, Boston-based head of investments at Putnam Investments, which manages $180 billion. ``People thought the worst was behind us.''
Nine out of 10 S&P 500 industries fell this week, giving the index an 8.7 percent plunge in June. That's the steepest monthly slide since September 2002. Analysts forecast earnings at companies in the S&P 500 will slump 11 percent on average in the second quarter, according to a Bloomberg survey yesterday, compared with a projected decline of 8.9 percent a week earlier.






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