31.07.2008 11:09

FOREX. Wednesday summary


The dollar rose to a one-month high versus the euro
after a private report showed U.S. companies unexpectedly added jobs. The U.S. dollar strengthened versus the euro as ADP Employer Services reported that companies added 9,000 jobs in July after cutting a revised 77,000 positions in the previous month. The median forecast of 29 economists was for a reduction of 60,000 jobs.
The Labor Department will probably report on Aug. 1 that non-farm payrolls dropped by 75,000 this month following a decline of 62,000 in June, according to the median forecast. The U.S. payroll report, which includes government hiring, has shown a reduction in jobs each month this year, while ADP has recorded only two declines.

The dollar pared its gain versus the euro after an Energy Department report showing an unexpected decline in gasoline inventories pushed oil prices higher.
Crude oil rose to $122.50 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The Federal Reserve extended its emergency lending programs to Wall Street firms through January after policy makers judged that markets are still too weak to operate without a backstop from the central bank.

EUR/USD fell to $1.5559, where losses were capped by bids ahead of $1.5550. Rate managed to recover to $1.5614 but then back off to $1.5580 and $1.5520. At the end of NY trading bids helped the euro to rebound to $1.5600.
GBP/USD declined to $1.9770 before rebounding to $1.9800 and later fell to session lows on $1.9840. Further pound recovered to $1.9780 and closed the day above $1.9800.
USD/JPY printed lows below Y108.00 – at Y107.70. Bids helped the dollar to lift up to Y108.20/30, where offers capped the rise. Later rate set stable between the Y108.00/20 zone.

At 09:00 GMTItaly and Eurozone will release their inflation reports.
Main focus for today will be on US data, including the preliminary reading of 2Q GDP with a forecast of rising by 2.2% y/y after 1.0% y/y quarter before. Also PCE price index (Q2) and Chicago PMI (July) are due to come.






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