05.08.2008 11:20

FOREX. Monday summary


The dollar fell
from a one-month high against the euro as stocks declined amid concern losses in U.S. credit markets may widen.
U.S. consumer spending rose 0.6% in June following a 0.8% increase in May, the Commerce Department said. The median forecast of economists was for an increase of 0.4%.
The Fed's preferred price gauge, known as the core measure which excludes food and fuel, rose 0.3% last month after a revised 0.2% May gain. The median forecast was for a 0.2% increase.

Policy makers will keep their target rate for overnight loans between banks at 2% when they meet Tuesday.
The pound fell against the euro for a third day and dropped versus the dollar after an industry report showed the U.K.'s construction industry shrank in July at the fastest pace in 11 years.
The Australian dollar has taken a big hit as investors have been caught off guard by a sharp shift in expectations towards interest rate cuts, tumbling nearly 3 percent against the dollar and yen last week for its biggest weekly drop since the Bear Stearns collapse in March. Traders said the Aussie likely had more room to fall as market players come around to the view that the Reserve Bank of Australia, which holds a policy meeting on Tuesday, could start cutting interest rates before long.

EUR/USD tested $1.5620/30, but failed to set above the figure and back off to $1.5560. Later rate resumed decline and fell to session low on $1.5525.
GBP/USDfellfrom$1.9755. Rate broke thought $1.9700 support and after triggering some stops fell to $1.9600. Rebound to $1.9635 was short-lived and pound refreshed session lows around $1.9580.
USD/JPY rose from Y107.44 to Y108.30. Later rate set stable within the Y108.10/30 range.

In Europe today PMI will come from EU countries, including UK.
But the main focus is on FOMC’s decision on Fed’s rate at 18:15 GMT.
Before
FOMCnon-manuf. ISMindexwillcome. Analysts predict index rose to 51,0 points versus 48,2 points month earlier.






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