15.08.2008 10:51

FOREX. Thursday summary


The euro dropped to a 5 1/2-month low against the dollar after crude oil fell and a report showed Europe's economy contracted for the first time since the 15- nation currency was introduced almost a decade ago.
Europe's economy shrank 0.2% in the second quarter, after growing 0.7% in the first, the European Union's statistics office said from Luxembourg.
Official figures on Thursday showed that the French economy contracted by 0.3% in the second quarter, compared with predictions of 0.2% expansion.
Germany, the euro zone's economic powerhouse, shrank by 0.5%, not quite as much as the 0.8% contraction analysts had expected.
Released reports showed US consumer prices surged more than expected during the month of July. The index, a key measure of inflation, rose 0.8% in July, more than twice what economists were anticipating, versus a 1.1% gain the previous month. The so-called core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3% in July on a monthly basis. Analysts had expected an increase of 0.2%. The annual rate climbed to 5.6%, hitting its highest level since 1991.
More Americans than forecast filed initial claims for jobless benefits last week, signaling further weakness in the labor market. The number of first-time applications decreased to 450,000 in the week ended Aug. 9, compared with the median forecast of 435,000 of economists.

EUR/USD printed highs on $1.4950 before corrected to $1.4914. General demand on dollar continued to drag the euro down to $1.4775 lows.
GBP/USD initially rose to $1.8770/80 before offers capped further rise and pound retreated to $1.8660. Rebound to $1.8700 was short-lived and pound fell to $1.8650.
USD/JPY rose from Y109.00 to Y109.80. Later rate was back to Y109.30, where it mat new buyers and recovered to Y110.00.

Today’s focus is on US data, including NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index, TICS, Industrial production and Michigan sentiment index. Analysts predict consumer confidence rose to 62.4 in August after 61.2 month earlier.






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