19.05.2008 15:41

European focus: dollar is weak ahead of housing data this week

The dollar traded near the lowest level in more than two weeks against the euro before an industry report this week that may signal the worst housing slump in a quarter of a century is deepening.
The currency fell the most against the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso before the report May 23 that is forecast to show home sales dropped for a second month. The yuan rose to the highest level since the end of its dollar link in 2005 after U.S. Treasury Undersecretary David McCormick urged China to quicken currency reforms. South Korea's won declined on concern the government will act to curb short-term external borrowing, reducing the supply of dollars.
The U.S. dollar last week fell the most against the euro since March as a slide in consumer confidence to a 28-year low and record oil prices raised concern U.S. economic growth will slow.
Losses in the U.S. dollar may be limited by speculation minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting last month will show policy makers are concerned that rising commodity prices will fan inflation. The Fed on May 21 will release minutes of its April meeting, where the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee cut the benchmark interest rate by a quarter point to 2 percent.
``I'd still be looking for any potential long position in the dollar,'' Tobias Davis, senior currency dealer at Custom House Global Foreign Exchange in Sydney, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ``The U.S. is importing inflation through food and crude oil. I think the FOMC is pretty confident in sitting tight at 2 percent.''
The yen's advance against the dollar may stall at about 103, said Yuji Saito, head of the foreign-exchange sales department at Societe Generale SA in Tokyo, citing a technical indicator. The 103 level is the baseline of a so-called Ichimoku chart, which analyzes the midpoints of historic highs and lows, he said.






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