21.05.2008 11:26

FOREX. Tuesday summary


The dollar fell the most in almost two months against the euro
as the price of oil rose above $129 for the first time and speculation increased that the European Central Bank will keep interest rates high.
The euro gained after an adviser to the German government said European policy makers may raise borrowing costs as soon as the financial crisis ends.
The Producer Price Index gained 0.2% in April, short of economists' expectations and following a rise of 1.1% in the previous month. But prices excluding food and energy costs rose 0.4%, twice what was expected.
The euro gained after a government report showed German producer-price inflation, an early indicator of price pressures in the economy, accelerated to the fastest pace in almost two years in April on energy costs.
The single currency briefly pared gains after an industry report showed investor confidence in Germany unexpectedly fell. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research said its index of investor and analyst expectations declined to minus 41.4, from minus 40.7 in April. Economists expected a gain to minus 37, according to a survey.
The Japanese currency held gains earlier after the Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate at 0.5%. Governor Masaaki Shirakawa told a press conference inflation risks are rising globally.

EUR/USD fellto$1.5560 afterweaker-then-expectedZEW index. Later rate rebounded, printed new session high on $1.5670.
GBP/USD was positive, rising from $1.9530 to $1.9665 before it set stable around $1.9640/50. Later rate refreshed session high and printed new one around $1.9713.
USD/JPY was supported at Y103.70 before it rebounded to Y104.15. But general dollar’s weakness dragged the rate down to Y103.55.

In Europe the focus will be on Germany’s IFO business climate index. Analysts predict index fell to 102.1 in May from 102.4. UK will issue MPC minutes at 08:30 GMT.
Later (at 11:00 GMT) Canada inflation data will be released.

At 18:00 GMT attention will be on FOMC’s minutes, when Fed lowered rate to 2.0%.






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