22.05.2008 16:28

European session: Cable rallies after stronger CBI data [M]

The dollar snapped two days of declines against the euro, rallying from the lowest level in a month, as traders added to bets the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by year-end.
The U.S. currency also rose from a one-week low versus the yen as futures showed the odds of a quarter-point increase in the Fed's target rate rose. Minutes of the Fed's April meeting, released yesterday, showed most policy makers viewed the cut in the rate to 2 percent as ``a close call,'' judging risks between weaker growth and faster inflation had become more balanced. The New Zealand dollar rose to a two-week high.
``The minutes certainly didn't give you any reasons to sell the dollar,'' said Daragh Maher, a senior currency strategist in London at Calyon, the investment-banking unit of Credit Agricole SA, France's third-biggest lender. ``The minutes validated the market's view that the Fed is going to keep rates on hold for the time being.''
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show traders see an 88 percent chance the Fed will keep its target rate for overnight lending between banks at 2 percent on June 25. Traders also see a 21 percent chance the Fed will lift the target in September to 2.25 percent, up from a 19 percent chance yesterday.

EUR/USD initially failed to break above $1.5780 and retreated to lows around $1.5740 before traded within $1.5740/75 range. Bids $1.5730, $1.5710/00, $1.5680/70. Offers $1.5815/30

GBP/USD kept positive mood in the wake of CBI data and currently trades around $1.9830. having posted high at $1.9848. Offers remain in place around $1.9840/50. Bids seen in place back at $1.9750, more at $1.9730/20.

USD/JPY printed high Y103.45 before set stable around Y103.10/40. Offers Y103.60/70, bids Y102.70/60.

At 12:30 GMT US will release its Jobless claims data.

Gains for the dollar may be limited before a government report that will probably show falling U.S. house prices. The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight will today say prices fell 1.3 percent in the first quarter.






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