26.05.2008 10:51

COMMODITIES: weekly review

Crude oil rose to a new record last week as the dollar fell against the euro, prompting investors to buy commodities as a hedge against the currency's decline. The weakening dollar and higher global demand for raw materials have led to records this year for commodities including gold, corn, soybeans and rice.
Crude-oil prices touched a record Thursday, spurred by concern supplies may not be adequate. The International Energy Agency said it may cut long-term forecasts as fields deplete faster than expected. The price decline at the end of the day occurred as some traders said this month's 17% rally wasn't justified by U.S. stockpiles and demand.
Banks have increased their price forecasts because of supply constraints and demand growth. OPEC ministers said the group is powerless to stop the surge in prices. Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, excluding Angola and Ecuador, exported 22.762 million barrels a day on tankers in the four weeks ended May 4. That compares with 23.786 million barrels a day in the equivalent period to April 6, data.

Crude oil for July delivery rose to $132.19 a barrel. The contract rose 4.9% last week. Futures reached $135.09 Thursday, the highest since trading began in 1983. Prices have doubled over the past year. Brent crude oil for July settlement rose to $131.57 a barrel. The contract touched a record $135.14 Thursday. Crude oil may rise next week, a Bloomberg News survey showed. This is the first time in 20 weeks that analysts forecast an increase in prices. There will be no floor trading in New York on May 26 because of the Memorial Day holiday.

Gold rose, capping the third straight weekly gain, as surging energy costs boosted demand for a hedge against inflation. Gold has gained 40% in the past 12 months as oil doubled. The metal reached a record $1,033.90 an ounce on March 17. Gold futures for June delivery rose to $925.80 an ounce. The metal gained 2.9% last week after climbing 4.9% in the previous two weeks. Silver futures for July delivery climbed to $18.29 an ounce. The price gained 7.8% for the week, the most since late February. This year, silver has advanced 23%, while gold climbed 10%.

Copper prices fell last week. Copper for three months delivery closed at $8,180 per tonne. Earlier it touched $8,040 a tonne, its lowest in two months. Aluminium held firm on the back of historically high energy prices, despite bearish near term fundamentals -- namely plentiful stocks of the metal used in packaging, transportation and power. Aluminium ended at $3,002 a tonne. Nickel closed at $24,100 a tonne.






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