28.05.2008 20:50

American focus: statistics helped the dollar


The dollar reached a two-week high against the yen as a measure of U.S. durable goods orders unexpectedly increased, signaling the outlook for the world's biggest economy may improve. The Commerce Department provided traders with some economic data. Durable goods orders fell 0.5% during April, which is a less severe downturn than expected. Excluding transportation, durable goods orders increased 2.5%. Economists forecast a 0.5% downturn following 1.7% increase registered in the previous month.
Japan's currency touched a one-month low against the euro and the weakest since November versus the Australian dollar, dropping to the day's lowest levels as an earlier decline in crude oil spurred investors to buy higher-yielding assets funded in Japan's currency, a strategy known as the carry trade. The yen pared its drop as oil reversed its decline.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade showed a 30 percent chance the Federal Reserve will raise its target rate by a quarter-percentage point to 2.25 percent on Sept. 16, up from 21 percent a week ago.
``A pull-back in oil prices has calmed some nerves,'' said Stephen Malyon, co-head of currency strategy at Scotia Capital Inc. in Toronto.
The euro pared its drop after a report showed inflation in Germany, Europe's largest economy, accelerated more than forecast in May.
German consumer prices rose 3 percent this month from a year ago after rising 2.6 percent last month, when measured using a harmonized European Union method, the Federal Statistics Office said. The median forecast was for inflation to quicken to 2.9 percent. A separate report showed French consumer confidence dropped to a record low in May.
The euro will trade at $1.56 at the end of next month, and fall to $1.49 at year-end, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 44 analysts.
The dollar also rose against the yen as the Treasury prepared to sell $30 billion of two-year notes today and $19 billion of five-year debt tomorrow. The U.S. currency appreciated 0.3 percent against the yen when the government sold $30 billion of two-year securities on April 23.






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