04.06.2008 22:14

American focus: dollar is well supported


The dollar traded near a two-week high against the euro on signs the economy is weathering the housing slump and record gasoline prices.
An index gauging the greenback against the currencies of six U.S. trading partners rose for a third day after reports showed services industries expanded in May at a faster pace than forecast and companies unexpectedly added jobs.
``The tone is still dollar-bullish for the day,'' said Boris Schlossberg, senior currency strategist in New York at DailyFX.com, an online currency dealer. ``The U.S. economy doesn't have the worst-case scenario.''
Weaker Pound. The pound fell to a two-week low against the dollar after a report showed British consumer confidence dropped in May to a four-year low. Sterling dropped as much as 0.5 percent to $1.9527, the weakest level since May 20.
Еconomists predicted the Bank of England will keep borrowing costs unchanged tomorrow. Expectations for inflation over the next decade held near an eight-year high, as measured by the spread between the 10-year gilt and its index-linked counterpart.
The dollar traded within a cent of a two-week high against the euro as reports showed unexpected signs of resilience in the world's largest economy.
The Institute for Supply Management's index of non- manufacturing businesses decreased to 51.7 last month from 52 in April. The median forecast of 73 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a drop to 51. A reading of 50 is the dividing line between growth and contraction.
Company Hiring U.S. companies added 40,000 jobs, followed a revised gain of 13,000 for the prior month that was more than previously estimated, ADP Employer Services said. The median forecast economists was for a reduction of 30,000.
The dollar has increased 3.5 percent since touching the all-time low of $1.6019 per euro on April 22, as the Fed signaled it will stop cutting interest rates. It has traded between $1.54 and $1.58 since mid-May.
The U.S. Dollar Index, tracking the greenback's performance versus six peers, increased 0.2 percent to 73.501. It touched 73.501 yesterday, the highest since May 15.
Futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 63 percent chance the Fed will raise the 2 percent target rate for overnight lending between banks by at least a quarter-percentage point by December, compared with 59 percent odds a month ago.
The European Central Bank will hold its main refinancing rate at a six-year high of 4 percent tomorrow, all 59 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted. The ECB has kept the rate at that level since June 2007.
The dollar will strengthen to $1.50 against the euro and trade at 105 yen by the end of the year, according to the median forecast of 41 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.






Copyright © 2000-06 TeleTRADE-DJ: Forex ( форекс ) — дилинговый центр. All rights reserved