10.06.2008 16:15

European session: Dollar surges on Bernanke inflation comments [M]


The following data were issued
06:45FranceIndustrial production (April) 1.4% 0.2% -1.0 (-0.8)%
06:45FranceIndustrial production (April) Y/Y 3.2% - 1.0%
08:00ItalyIndustrial production (April) adjusted 0.7% 0.0% -0.2%
08:00ItalyIndustrial production (April) Y/Y adjusted 2.0% - -2.5%
08:30UKIndustrial production (April) 0.2% 0.0% -0.5%
08:30UKIndustrial production (April) Y/Y 0.2% - 0.2%
08:30UKManufacturing output (April) 0.1% 0.0% -0.5%
08:30UKManufacturing output (April) Y/Y 0.1% - 0.6%

The dollar rose to a more than three- month high against the yen after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said risks to the U.S. economy have diminished, prompting traders to increase bets on higher interest rates.
The dollar has fallen 11% against the euro and 7.7% versus the yen since September, when the Fed began to lower borrowing costs from 5.25%. Paulson told CNBC he hasn't ruled out any policy option to support the dollar, including intervention in the foreign-exchange market.
The euro shot higher last week after Trichet hinted an increase from the current 4.0% was possible next month.
In the UK, the pound was lower despite upbeat economic data, as investors took profits on the strong gains made yesterday on the back of high producer price data.

EUR/USD opened around $1.5582. Rally above $1.5600 could not be sustained, with rate slipping back to test the overnight low. Stops were hit on the break of $1.5550, wit rate then making a late dip under $1.5500. Strong bids $1.5480, tech $1.5478, stops $1.5470, offers $1.5550/60.
GBP/USD opened at $1.9662. Cable eased despite the better than expectedmanufacturing data, extending lows to $1.9545.
USD/JPY opened in early Europe around Y106.77 before rising up to Y107.12. Later rate retreated to Y106.80. Dlr-yen offers Y107.15, Y107.40, tech Y108.39, Y108.62, bids Y106.25.

At 12:30 GMT US trade balance is scheduled to release. Analysts expect deficit widened in April to $59.60B versus $58.21B month earlier.
At 12:30 GMT BOC will announce its rate decision with 25 points cut is expected.






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