13.06.2008 12:29

Forex: Thursday results


The dollar strengthened to a one- week high against the euro Thursday as U.S. retail sales advanced in May more than economists forecast, raising speculation the Federal Reserve will increase borrowing costs this year. U.S. retail sales increased 1 percent in May as Americans used their tax rebates to shop, the Commerce Department reported. That followed a revised 0.4 percent advance the prior month. The median forecast of 82 surveyed economists was for a 0.5 percent increase.
Traders bet Fed policy makers are more likely to raise borrowing costs in August. Fed funds futures on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 60 percent probability the central bank will increase the target lending rate by at least a quarter- percentage point, compared with a 7 percent chance a week ago.
The U.S. currency was supported by speculation that finance ministers from the Group of Eight countries might make comments discouraging the currency's decline at two days of meetings in Osaka, Japan, this weekend. G-8 officials will urge emerging nations to stop subsidizing oil consumption and press regulators, notably in the U.S., to look into the trading that has driven crude oil to a record, said French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde.

EUR/USD fell from $1.5560 to $1.5380. Later rebound followed till $1.5450.
GBP/USD sunk from $1.9635 to $1.9435 rebounding further to $1.9470.
USD/JPY rose from Y106.80 to Y108.06.

Eurozone data at 0900GMT sees Q1 employment data and Q1 labor costs,which are seen rising 2.9%. US data starts at 1230GMT, when CPI is expected to rise 0.5% in May, as energy prices are expected rebound after the seasonally adjusted decline in the previous month. Food prices are forecast to be more modest in the month after posting the largest monthly gain in 18 years. Core CPI is forecast to rise 0.2% in the month after the very tame 0.1% reading in April. US data concludes at 1355GMT when the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to rise very modestly to 60.0 in early-June.






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