27.06.2008 16:04

European session:

The yen rebounded from a record low against the euro and rose versus the dollar as a decline in stock markets around the world reduced demand for higher- yielding assets funded in Japan.
The yen also erased a weekly decline against the euro after European Central Bank council member Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez said an interest-rate increase next month ``is not certain'' and the European Commission said confidence among European executives and consumers dropped this month. The Swiss franc headed for weekly gains against the dollar and euro. The U.K. pound dropped against the dollar after the economy grew less than previously estimated in the first quarter.
``We're finally seeing some catch-up in terms of the rising risk aversion in other markets feeding into currencies,'' said Adam Cole, global head of currency strategy in London at Royal Bank of Canada, the nation's largest lender. ``That's leading to strengthening in the safe-haven currencies and the yen has been the main beneficiary so far.''

EUR/USD: posted low around $1.5624 before bounsed back to $1.5680. Offers $1.5790/1.5800, $1.5820/25, $1.5840/50, bids $1.5720/10
GBP/USD: got support at $1.9800 in the wake of GDP revision and reached $1.9900 ahead of American session start.
USD/JPY:due to carry trades reduction and general US dollar pressure fell under yesterday's Y106.60 low, also taking out four-month trendline support at Y106.47 and triggering further stops en-route to Y106.10, with the rate holding just off the base ahead of the American open.


US data starts at 1230GMT, when personal income is forecast to rise 0.4% in May. Payrolls fell 49,000, while the average workweek was unchanged at 33.7 hours and hourly earnings rose 0.3%. PCE is forecast to rise 0.7%, as retail motor vehicle sales rose 0.3% in the month and non-auto sales jumped 1.2%. The core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.2% after the 0.1% gain in April. Canada industrial product and raw materials prices for May and average weekly earnings, payrolls for April are due at the same time. At 1355GMT, the Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to be unrevised at 56.7 at the end of June.
At 1630GMT, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, Governing Council member Mario Draghi and PBOC Governor Zhou Xiaochuan are due to host a press conference, in Rome.






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