01.08.2008 16:05

European session: Yen rises as carry trades are pared; Dollar waits for Payrolls report [M]


The following data were issued
06:00GermanyRetail sales (June) real adjusted -1.4% -0.4% 0.5 (1.3)%
06:00GermanyRetail sales (June) real unadjusted Y/Y -3.9% - 1.0 (0.7)%
07:45ItalyPMI (July) 45.3 46.1 46.9
07:50FrancePMI (July) 47.1 47.3 49.2
07:55GermanyPMI (July) seasonally adjusted 50.9 50.9 52.6
08:00EU(15)PMI (July) 47.4 47.5 49.2
08:30UKCIPS manufacturing index (July) 44.3 45.6 45.8

The yen rose to a two-week high against the euro as faltering global growth and falling stocks prompted traders to pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
The euro remained on the back foot against the dollar following a weak survey on euro zone manufacturing activity, but further losses were capped as markets fixated on the upcoming release of the closely watched U.S. payrolls data.
The purchasing managers' index for the euro zone manufacturing sector fell to its worst level in more than five years in July.
Elsewhere, the pound came under sharp pressure against the dollar in the run-up to the release of a key survey on UK manufacturing activity, before recovering slightly as markets' attention here also turned to U.S. payrolls.
The purchasing managers' index on the manufacturing sector showed a worse-than-expected fall to 44.3 in July from June's 45.9, with the reading at its weakest since December 1998.

EUR/USD opened in early Europe around $1.5563. Rate held within the narrow $1.5550/80 range. Small offers $1.5580, stronger $1.5600, $1.5630. Bids $1.5550, stops below, stronger bids $1.5520/10, $1.5480.
GBP/USD opened early Europe at $1.9834. Cable dropped below $1.9800 after weak UK PMI data. Disappointingrelease knocked rate down before some rebound to $1.9770.
USD/JPY opened in early Europe around Y107.61. Rate printed low on Y107.30 before recovering up to Y107.70. Dlr-yen offers Y107.90/00, stronger Y108.30/60, stops above.

Attention turns to Payrolls numbers release at 12:30 GMT.The U.S. employment figures are expected to show a loss of 72,000 jobs in July, following a loss of 62,000 in June.






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