01.10.2008 16:33

European session [M]

The dollar fell from near a two-week high against the euro on speculation the U.S. economy will enter a recession regardless of whether Congress approves the Bush administration's $700 billion bank-bailout proposals.
The euro rebounded after posting its biggest drop in seven years against the U.S. currency yesterday as Senate Democrats and Republicans agreed to vote today on the rescue plan. The British pound declined against the euro after a report showed U.K. manufacturing contracted at its fastest pace in 16 years.
Senate leaders vowed yesterday to revive a bill to buy distressed assets from banks. The legislation was rejected two days ago by the House of Representatives. The measures would give Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson broad authority to buy troubled assets from financial companies. Senators plan to include a provision that would raise the limit on federal insurance for bank deposits to $250,000 from $100,000, a move demanded by some of the rescue plan's critics.
The euro's gains came a day before a meeting of the European Central Bank at which policy makers led by Jean-Claude Trichet will probably keep interest rates at 4.25 percent.
The pound declined versus the euro after Reuters reported the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply's index of manufacturing fell to 41 in September, from 45.1 in August, the lowest since January 1992. Economists predicted 45. The reading has held below 50, signaling contraction, for five months.
The yen fell against all 16 most actively traded currencies after the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey showed large manufacturers turned pessimistic about their prospects in September for the first time in five years. The Japanese currency weakened to 150.07 per euro, from 149.56 yesterday.

EUR/USD having established session high on $1,4163, has continued оставать in the top borders channel $1,4065-$ 1,4145. Offers $1.4185/1.4200, $1.4220/25, $1.4240/50. Bids $1.4085/75.
GBP/USD has been limited by frameworks $1,7780-$ 1,7875.
USD/JPY having established sessional minima in the field of Y105,60, has raised above level Y106,00.

US data should sees at 1215GMT by the ADP National Employment Report for September.
Further US data at 140GMT sees construction spending for September and the ISM manufacturing index for September as well as the help-wanted online index for September. The ISM manufacturing index is forecast to fall to a reading of 49.0 in September. Construction spending is expected to fall 0.3% in August, pulled down by the continued cuts in private residential building. Data also sees the weekly crude oil stocks data at 1435GMT.






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