07.10.2008 16:11

European session: [M]

The yen fell from a three-year high against the euro after the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered interest rates by the most since 1992, fueling speculation central banks plan a series of cuts to ease a financial crisis.
The yen was little changed near a six-month high versus the dollar as Australian policy makers slashed borrowing costs by a full percentage point, double the reduction forecast by economists. The euro rebounded after its biggest one-day drop against the yen since the common European currency's 1999 debut as the region's stocks and U.S. index futures rose.
``There is a degree of optimism that we will see coordinated rate cuts, which is increasing risk appetite and weighing on the yen,'' said Lee Hardman, a currency strategist in London at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi Ltd. ``In the near term, if these drastic steps do come to fruition, then we could see a drop in the recent yen gains, which have been excessive.''
The RBA lowered its overnight cash rate target to 6 percent from 7 percent, adding to last month's quarter-point reduction. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News expected a cut to 6.5 percent. The Bank of Japan today left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5 percent.
The likelihood the world's largest economies are on the brink of a recession is raising speculation central banks will cut interest rates to revive growth. The Bank of England meets on Oct. 9 to set borrowing costs, a day before finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven nations gather in Washington to discuss the deepening credit-market crisis that has stalled bank lending.
``The Bank of England has been really resisting it for a long time but now they've got to go'' for lower rates, said Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Sydney. ``The tide is certainly turning toward rate cuts that weren't on the agenda even a couple of weeks ago.''
Gains in the euro may be limited on speculation European authorities will fail to come up with a joint rescue plan for the region's beleaguered financial system. The U.S. government has earmarked $700 billion to buy distressed assets from lenders following the collapse of banks including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.
``Let's focus on Europe and who's going to fail and how are they going to build it up,'' said Joseph Tan, chief economist for Asia at Credit Suisse Private Banking in Singapore. ``I wonder if they can come together and form a comprehensive package. The euro is negative against the dollar.''

EUR/USD after growth at the Asian session, the pair is consolidated within the limits of $1,3515-$ 1,3620. Offers $1.3590/00, bids $1.3515/10.


GBP/USD BBC report that UK major banks had discussed capitalisation requirements with the BOE Monday weighed on UK bank shares, especially RBS. Move lower drove cable to a low of $1.7320, recovering back above $1.7450 ahead of the NY open.
Bids $1.7370, $1.7325/20, $1.7285/80. Offers $1.7460, $1.7480.


USD/JPYafter unsuccessful test of the nearest resistance Y103,30, the pair revisited daily lows before nested itself within the Y101,40-Y102,20 range.


At 1800GMT FOMC Minutes (Sep 16) will be released.






Copyright © 2000-06 TeleTRADE-DJ: Forex ( форекс ) — дилинговый центр. All rights reserved