09.10.2008 16:18

European session: [M]


The yen had its biggest decline against the euro in almost eight years as a flurry of central bank interest-rate cuts helped arrest a slump in stocks, bolstering demand for higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
Japan's currency also tumbled versus the U.S., Australian and New Zealand dollars as equities in Asia and Europe rebounded. The pound dropped versus the euro on speculation more interest-rate cuts are needed to avert an economic slump.
``The yen declines reflect greater stability in equity markets following yesterday's rate moves,'' said Simon Derrick, chief currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp. ``Movement on the yen is a good bellwether of any of the mood in risk appetite.''
``People will be somewhat reluctant to buy the yen from here,'' said Akio Shimizu, chief manager of foreign-exchange trading in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp., a unit of Japan's largest publicly traded bank. ``The yen's gains against many currencies are starting to breach the comfort zone, so the G-7 may want to stabilize the currency.''
The Federal Reserve reduced its target lending rate by a half-percentage point to 1.5 percent yesterday, while the European Central Bank and counterparts from the U.K., Canada, Sweden and Switzerland also announced cuts. Central banks in China, Hong Kong and Taiwan lowered their key rates and the Bank of Korea cut its benchmark for the first time in four years.
``You would be looking to buy dollars,'' said Kathy Lien, director of research at GFT Forex in New York, in a Bloomberg Television interview. ``Two to three months down the line the ECB will still be cutting interest rates while the Fed won't. The ECB has a lot more room to cut interest rates.''

EUR/USD reached $1.3785, before profit take pushed the pare down to $1.3670. Offers $1.3800/05. Bids $1.3660/50.



GBP/USD posted session high at $1.7370, before fell back to $1.7265. Now cable trades not far from session high. Bids $1.7250, $1.7210/00. Offers $1.7350, $1.7370/80, $1.740.

USD/JPY having tested resistance at Y101.40, bounced back to Y100.20. For the moment the pare trades at Y100.80. Offers Y101.50, Y101.75. Bids Y100.20/30.

US data
starts at 1230GMT, when jobless claims are expected to fall 22,000 to 475,000 in the October 4 week. US wholesale inventories for August are due at 1400GMT, ahead of the weekly natural gas stocks data at 1435GMT.
The dollar likely to gain further on speculation financial institutions will seek to buy more of the currency in the foreign-exchange market due to the reluctance of banks to lend to each other.
`External credit pressures remain elevated,'' said Peter Pontikis, a treasury strategist at Suncorp-Metway Ltd. in Brisbane, Australia. ``Part of the reason why the dollar is going up is because of elevated funding pressures.''






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