10.10.2008 16:19

European session: [M]


The dollar touched a 14-month high of $1.3444 per euro on Oct. 6 as the freeze in credit markets and global stock losses boosted demand for U.S. Treasuries. Banks' reluctance to lend to each other also caused a shortage of dollars for funding, accelerating the currency's gain.
The euro headed for a third weekly loss against the dollar and a second versus the yen on speculation the credit crisis in Europe will deepen, prompting the European Central Bank to cut interest rates. The bank two days ago lowered its benchmark interest rate for the first time in five years.
The currency has fallen 7.3 percent versus the yen this week, the most since the euro's debut in 1999. ECB policy makers said yesterday they expect the region's economic growth will remain weak for some time.
The yen rose against the dollar, headed for its biggest weekly gain in a decade, on speculation a global stock-market rout will prompt investors to pare holdings of higher-yielding assets funded with the Japanese currency.
The yen was on course for its largest weekly gain versus the euro as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nikkei 225 Stock Average both fell below 9,000 for the first time since 2003.

EUR/USD failed to overcame $1.3650 and ahead of US session start fell back to the session low at $1.3515/20.


GBP/USD having posted new 5-year low at $1.6784, cable corrected to $1.7015. For the moment the pare trades at $1.6880. keeping positive mood. Bids $1.6950/30, $1.6900. Offers $1.7020/25, $1.7050.

USD/JPY trades within Y98.45- Y99.30 range.


Friday's session sees an early close for US markets ahead of the Columbus Day holiday on Monday, though the late European session isdominated by central bank and finance minister appearances, given the G7 meetings in Washington.
Group of Seven finance ministers and central bankers meet today and tomorrow in Washington to discuss financial turmoil that has wiped more than $8 trillion off the value of global stocks this month and led to interest-rate cuts and bank bailouts in most of the member nations.
At 12:30 GMT trade balance of the USA and Canada will be published. Besides this day it is necessary to pay attention to the publication of Import Price Index of the USA at 12:30 GMT and the Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey at 14:00 GMT.






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