16.10.2008 16:22

European session:[M]


The yen declined against the euro and dollar as U.S. stock-index futures rose, prompting investors to curb sales of higher-yielding assets funded in Japan.
The yen reversed gains from a three-year low against the euro as futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index advanced following its biggest plunge since the 1987 stock-market crash. The dollar rose toward its strongest level in more than a year versus the euro on speculation turmoil in financial markets, sparked by the global credit crisis, will encourage investors to buy U.S. Treasuries.
``The yen's very closely following global equities,'' said Lee Hardman, a London-based currency strategist for Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi. ``The moves we've seen in the yen over the last month have been extreme and in the near term there is a potential for the currency to weaken.''
The Japanese currency fell against the euro as S&P 500 futures expiring in December added 0.5 percent. The yen weakened on speculation that investors will slow carry-trade reversals.
A carry trade is a strategy in which an investor obtains funds in a country with low borrowing costs and buys assets where returns are higher.
``People are buying safe-haven assets such as Treasuries because of fears over the financial-markets turmoil,'' said Lee Wai Tuck, a currency strategist at Forecast Pte Ltd. in Singapore. ``It's positive for the dollar.''
Foreign investors increased their purchases of U.S. assets in August to $30 billion, from $6.1 billion in July, according to survey of economists. The Treasury Department will release the data at 1400 GMT in Washington.

EUR/USD: having got support at $1.3350 bounsed back above $1.3500. Offers spotted at $1.3520 may stall further gains. More supply at $1.3550/60. Bids lokated at $1.3410/00, stronger at $1.3350.


GBP/USD traded within $1.7200/70 range.

USD/JPY rose from Y100.00 to session high Y100.75.

US data starts at 1230GMT with the weekly jobless claims and CPI data. Jobless claims are expected to fall 8,000 to 470,000 in the October 11 week after slipping back in the previous week, while analysts expect September CPI to rise only 0.1% as pump prices fell even further, but food prices are expected to be up. Data continues with the 1300GMT release of the Treasury International Capital System data for August and the 1315GMT release of industrial production and capacity utilization for September. Industrial production is expected to fall 0.7% in September after the August plunge on a decline in vehicle production.






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