21.10.2008 12:38

Stock market: Monday summary

Japan stocks rose for a second day on speculation corporate profits will beat analyst estimates and after the rout in global equity markets made shares cheap relative to earnings.
Panasonic Corp. jumped 8.9 percent on a report it may beat its profit forecast on higher television sales. JFE Holdings Inc. and Nippon Steel Corp. advanced after the Nikkei newspaper said they may boost their annual targets. Nissan Motor Co., Japan's third-biggest carmaker, gained 8.9 percent after a drop in its stock price drove its dividend yield to five times the return on government bonds, prompting UBS AG to recommend buying the shares.
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 311.77, or 3.6 percent, to close at 9,005.59 in Tokyo. The broader Topix index advanced 33.08, or 3.7 percent, to 927.37. Almost six stocks climbed for each that fell on the Topix.
The Topix lost a fifth of its value in the past month on concern the credit crisis that brought down Bear Stearns Cos. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. would lead to a global recession. The average dividend yield for Topix constituents reached 2.52 percent compared with the 1.57 percent yield on 10-year government bonds, while the gauge's price fell below book value.
The 40 Topix-listed businesses that reported half-year earnings last week posted an average 32 percent gain in profit, according to Bloomberg data, indicating that some companies are weathering the economic slowdown.
Panasonic, the world's largest maker of consumer electronics, jumped 8.9 percent to 1,633 yen. The Osaka-based company may report at least 220 billion yen ($2.16 billion) in operating profit for the six months to Sept. 30, boosted by TV sales, the Nikkei said on Oct. 18. In April, the company forecast first-half profit would decline 9.1 percent to 200 billion yen. Rival Sony Corp. climbed 7.6 percent to 2,625 yen.
JFE, Japan's second-biggest steelmaker, soared 9.2 percent to 2,430 yen, while bigger rival Nippon Steel advanced 4.4 percent to 330 yen. JFE may raise its annual estimate of pretax profit to 510 billion yen from 450 billion yen this month because of falling costs for materials and fuel and higher steel prices, Nikkei said today. Nippon Steel may announce a similar revision on its earnings, the newspaper said.
Nissan, whose dividend yield is 7.6 percent, gained 8.9 percent to 527 yen, while smaller rival Daihatsu Motor Co. advanced 6.5 percent to 961 yen. The companies had their investment ratings boosted to ``buy'' from ``neutral'' by UBS, which cited recent price drops.
Bridgestone Corp., the world's largest tiremaker, jumped 9.5 percent to 1,874 yen, while Toyo Tire & Rubber Co. gained 12 percent to 253 yen. Natural rubber for March delivery traded at 185.20 yen a kilogram today, after falling to as low as 159.3 yen on Oct. 17, the lowest price since July 2005. An index of rubber- product makers had the biggest gain among 33 industry groups on the Topix.

European stocks rose after Ericsson AB reported better-than-estimated earnings, higher oil boosted energy shares and the Netherlands stepped up efforts to ease the financial crisis.
all 18 western European markets advanced. Ericsson, the world's largest maker of wireless phone networks, jumped 16 percent. ING Groep NV rallied 29 percent after receiving a 10 billion-euro ($13.4 billion) lifeline from the Dutch government. Money-market rates declined.
Prudential Plc climbed 19 percent on a report the U.K.'s second-biggest insurer is in advanced talks to sell a stake.
European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said banks should start lending again after policy makers put them on ``the path'' of recovery.
Speculation that government efforts to shore up banks will bolster the economy and profits helped drag European options lower for a second day. The VStoxx Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 Index, dropped 18 percent to 63.28 at 4:51 p.m. in London. The measure reached a peak of 87.88 on Oct. 16.
Ericsson surged 16 percent to 58.40 kronor after reporting third-quarter net income of 2.8 billion Swedish kronor ($380 million) which beat the 2.34 billion-kronor estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Citigroup Inc. reiterated its ``buy'' recommendation on the shares with a price estimate of 68 kronor after the report.
ING jumped 29 percent to 9.48 euros, the biggest percentage gain on record. The Dutch government will buy non-voting preferred shares in the financial and insurance company and appoint two representatives to the board of ING, which will scrap this year's final dividend. ING fell a record 27 percent on Oct. 17 after predicting a 500 million-euro loss for the third quarter.
Shell, Europe's largest oil producer, added 11 percent to 1,550 pence, while Total, the region's third-biggest, gained 7.1 percent to 39.025 euros.
Crude oil rose in New York on speculation OPEC will lower output in an attempt to halt a slide in prices, which have fallen more than 50 percent from July's record.
Prudential rose 22 percent to 330.25 pence after the Sunday Times reported the insurer is in advanced talks with investment funds in China and the Middle East to take a 20 percent stake in and help finance a $15 billion offer for the Asian business of American International Group Inc. The newspaper did not say where it got the information.
Societe Generale SA slumped 3 percent to 43.93 euros on speculation France's second-biggest bank may have to raise new capital. Spokeswoman Stephanie Carson-Parker was not immediately available for comment.
European banks led by Deutsche Bank and UniCredit SpA may need to raise a combined 73 billion euros, Merrill Lynch & Co. analysts said in a note today. Societe Generale may have to raise 6.5 billion euros, the analysts said.
Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, which plans to merge with British Airways Plc, soared by a record 26 percent to 1.77 euros after Spanish newswire Efe said the U.K. carrier's pension deficit won't harm negotiations.
Veolia Environnement SA tumbled 21 percent to 18.43 euros after the world's biggest water company said its water and waste management businesses have slowed, and that it is expects total investments to fall 34 percent to 4 billion euros ($5.4 billion) this year.


Stocks rallied Monday as investors welcomed positive developments in the credit markets and Fed Chairman Bernanke supporting the idea of a second fiscal stimulus package.
In the end, the S&P 500 rallied 4.8%, settling at session highs thanks to a late-session surge in buying interest. Strength was mostly broad-based, with all ten sectors posting a gain. Volume, however, was on the light side with only 1.23 billion shares exchanging hands on the NYSE, compared to the one-year average of 1.49 billion.
During testimony to the House Budget Committee, Fed Chairman Bernanke said he feels the government's recent efforts will help restore the financial system, but cautioned the stabilization of the financial system will not quickly eliminate economic challenges.
Given the likelihood of a weak economy for several quarters, Bernanke said it would be appropriate for Congress to consider a second fiscal stimulus. He feels that a fiscal package should be targeted to boost overall spending and economic activity, aimed at improving credit for consumers, home buyers, businesses and other borrowers and limit long-term effects on the government's budget deficit.
Meanwhile, overseas governments took more actions to help alleviate the financial market turmoil. India cut its key lending rate for the first time since 2004, South Korea said it will guarantee some of the foreign debt held by its banks, and the Netherlands is injecting approximately $13 billion in ING (ING 12.93, +2.28).
Credit markets continue to show improvements. Short-term interbank lending in dollars, measured by Libor, declined across all terms. The difference between what banks pay each other for three-month loans and what the government pays, known as the TED spread, declined 65 basis points to 2.96%. The TED spread is well off its 4.34% high reached on Oct. 10, but levels remain substantially above the historical average of roughly 0.4%.
In corporate news, utility company Exelon (EXC 54.58, +0.08) made an unsolicited proposal to acquire NRG Energy (NRG 25.00, +5.67) for $26.43 per share, or $6.2 billion, in stock. The offer represents a 37% premium to Friday's closing level. The utilities sector as a whole climbed 8.1%.
Eaton (ETN 45.05, +0.63), Halliburton (HAL 20.80, +2.54), and Hasbro (HAS 28.79, -1.33) topped estimates for their respective latest quarters. On the negative side, Novartis AG (NVS 52.16, +1.22) and Mattel (MAT 14.07, -0.38) reported earnings that fell short of expectations.
The better-than-expected results from Halliburton, and a 3.8% gain in oil prices, helped the energy sector spike 11.2%.
The financial sector (+2.8%) underperformed on a relative basis, with notable weakness in retail (-3.4%) and industrial (-2.1%) REITs.
In economic news, September leading indicators rose 0.3%, although August's decline of 0.5% was widened to 0.9%. Economists had forecast a drop of 0.1% in September. The leading indicators report is mostly a collection of previously announced economic indicators.






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