30.10.2008 15:00

European session: [M]

The dollar and the yen fell as a wave of global interest-rate cuts sparked a rally in Asian stocks, boosting demand for higher-yielding assets.
The greenback slid for a third day against the euro after the Federal Reserve reduced its target lending rate to 1 percent and agreed to provide $30 billion each to the central banks of Brazil, Mexico, South Korea and Singapore. The yen dropped to a one-week low versus the European currency on speculation the Bank of Japan will lower borrowing costs when it meets tomorrow. South Korea's won jumped the most in a decade.
``The significant easing of monetary policy will help the global growth outlook,'' said Tony Morriss, a senior currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Sydney. ``We're seeing a major correction of the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen. They were among the key beneficiaries of the flight to quality that's being unwound.''
U.S. policy makers reduced the fed funds target by a half- percentage point to 1 percent yesterday, matching a level reached in June 2003 and before that during the Dwight Eisenhower administration in the late 1950s.
Gross domestic product shrank by 0.5 percent in the third quarter for its biggest decline since the 2001 recession, data due at 8:30 a.m. today in Washington will show, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists.
``The Fed is doing what it can given a weakening U.S. economy,'' said Tsutomu Soma, a bond and currency dealer at Okasan Securities Co. based in Tokyo. ``This puts the focus on the interest-rate differential, and that will force the dollar to go lower.''
The U.S. central bank has cut its benchmark rate from 5.25 percent in the past 13 months and created six lending programs channeling more than $1 trillion into the financial system to limit the severity of a looming recession.
``The easing bias in the U.S. is going to continue,'' said Paresh Upadhyaya at Putnam Investments in Boston, which manages $50 billion in currency assets. The Australian dollar rose to 67.39 U.S. cents from 66.81 cents yesterday in New York on speculation a rate cut in China, the world's largest consumer of industrial metals, will boost demand for Australia's exports.
The yen also declined as investors speculated that the Bank of Japan will cut borrowing costs tomorrow. It slumped the most since 1974 and stocks rallied after the Nikkei newspaper said Oct. 28 that policy makers are leaning toward lowering rates.
``Selling orders for the yen are piling up,'' said Mitsuru Sahara, senior currency sales manager at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd., a unit of Japan's biggest publicly traded lender. ``Stocks are looking strong, and that takes some safe- haven flows away from the yen. A possible BOJ rate cut is also a negative.''

EUR/USD from area of a session high on $1,3255 the pair has decreased in area $1,3050.


GBP/USD having shown high on $1,6670., the pair has receded in area $1,6450.

USD/JPY the rate bargained within the limits of range Y96,05-Y98,00.

US data starts at 1230GMT with the weekly jobless claims and the advance third-quarter 2008 GDP. Jobless claims are expected to fall 3,000 to 475,000 in the October 25 week, remaining very high even the impact of recent hurricanes is removed. The advance estimate for third quarter GDP calls for a 0.5% annual rate decline, after a rebound in the second quarter. Late US data also sees the 2030GMT release of M2 money supply for the October 20 week.






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