04.11.2008 12:23

FOREX. Monday summary [M]

Dollar gained agains the major rivals despite ISM Manufacturing Index fall in October to lowest level since 1982, suggesting contraction in U.S. manufacturing.
Earlier the yen fell against the euro on speculation a drop in interbank borrowing costs will encourage investors to step up purchases of higher-yielding assets financed by low-cost loans in Japan's currency.
The dollar gained against the euro as evidence that Europe’s economic outlook is “precarious”.
Growth expected to grind to a halt next year and put government finances under significant pressure, the European Commission warned on Monday.
Growth in the European Union is expected to slow sharply from 1.4 per cent this year to just 0.2 per cent in 2009, according to the Brussels executive’s latest economic forecast. The eurozone – covering the 15 countries that share the euro – would slow from 1.2 per cent to just 0.1 per cent.
Eurozone inflation would average 2.2 per cent next year and 2.1 per cent in 2010 – almost within the European Central Bank’s target of an annual rate “below but close” to 2 per cent. Falling commodity prices, the weaker growth outlook and the outlook for unemployment had reduced the dangers of inflationary pressures becoming entrenched, it said.
The gloomy outlook prompted Joaquin Almunia, economic and monetary affairs commission, to call for “co-ordinated action at the EU level to support the economy” in the same way governments had acted to shore up the banking system.

EUR/USD
having shown session high in the field of $1,2890, the pair has finished session in area of a session low $1,2640.

GBP/USD having become stronger in first half of day in area $1,6390, the pound could not fix the achievements and on results of session has lost more than 250 point against dollar.
USD/JPY trading session of Monday the rate bargained within the limits of Y98,20-Y99,70.


At 1000GMT Eurozone Industrial PPI for September is due.
At 1530GMT, ECB Governing Council member Axel Weber is due to deliver a speech at a conference of the German Employers Association, in Berlin.
US data starts at 1500GMT by factory orders data, which are forecast to hold steady in September as durables orders were already reported up 0.8%, but non-durables orders are expected to fall due to lower energy prices.






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