13.11.2008 15:58

European session: [M]

The following data were published:
04:30 Japan Industrial output (September) final 1.1%
04:30 Japan Industrial output (September) final Y/Y 0.2%
07:00 Germany GDP (Q3) flash -0.5%
07:00 Germany GDP (Q3) flash Y/Y adjusted 0.8%
07:00 Germany GDP (Q3) flash Y/Y unadjusted 1.3%

The euro fell to a two-week low against the dollar after Germany's economy entered its worst recession in at least 12 years, sparking speculation the European Central Bank will cut interest rates.
The 15-nation currency also pared gains against the yen after a German government report showed the biggest contraction over two consecutive quarters since 1996. The yen dropped versus the dollar as intervention by the Reserve Bank of Australia fueled speculation other central banks may follow suit.
The yen fell from two-week highs against the dollar and the euro after the Reserve Bank of Australia intervened to support its currency, fueling speculation Japan may do the same.
The yen declined versus the Australian dollar, after yesterday surging the most in three weeks, as an unidentified spokesman at the RBA confirmed purchases of its own currency. Japan's Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa told lawmakers in Tokyo today that abrupt currency moves are ``undesirable'' and a stronger yen hurts domestic stock investors. He said last month Japan may intervene for the first time in four years.
The yen rose earlier to a two-week high against the euro, after U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's plan to divert bailout money from banks sparked cuts in purchases of higher- yielding assets. Paulson said yesterday he plans to use the second half of the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program, known as TARP, to help relieve pressure on consumer credit, scrapping a proposal to buy devalued mortgage assets from banks.
The Japanese currency will strengthen to 90 yen per dollar in three months as traders shun higher-yielding assets deemed riskier, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said, revising earlier forecasts. The euro will fall to $1.20 per euro in the same period, Goldman said. The previous three-month projection was for the dollar at 112 yen and $1.45 per euro.
The Australian dollar rose after an RBA spokesman confirmed the central bank bought its own currency today.

EUR/USD the pair has become stronger from area $1,2380 having established that a session high in area $1,2590, later a rate has slightly decreased.


GBP/USD the rate remained within the limits of $1,4810-$ 1,4980.

USD/JPY having established in current of the morning tenders the session high on Y96,25, has continued is within the limits of range Y94,40-Y96,25.

US data is at 1330GMT with the weekly jobless claims and trade data. The international trade gap is expected to narrow to $57.0 billion in September. The import price index was down 3.0% in September on a sharp dip in imported petroleum prices.






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