17.11.2008 16:23

European session:

The following data were published:
10:00 Е15 Trade Balance s.a. (Sep) 5.7
10:00 Е15 Trade Balance n.s.a. (Sep) 5.6

The dollar fell against the yen and the euro as U.S. stock futures dropped before a report likely to show a gauge of manufacturing in New York slid to a record low.
The decline against the yen was the dollar's fifth in the past six days. The U.S. has entered a recession that will persist into next year, and economies around the world will follow suit, according to a survey by the National Association for Business Economics. Standard & Poor's futures expiring in December fell for a second day.
``There is a perception that the U.S. economy is more exposed to a slowdown than Japan,'' said Neil Mellor, a currency strategist in London at Bank of New York Mellon Corp. ``The yen is winning in the battle with the dollar because it is perceived as a greater safe haven.''
The New York Federal Reserve's general economic index may fall to minus 26.0, from minus 24.6 in October, according to the median forecast of 46 economists. Readings below zero for the Empire State index signal manufacturing activity is shrinking. Every component other than prices was negative for the month.
The MSCI Word Index of equities fell for a second day, slipping 0.5 percent, as stock markets in Europe and Asia declined.

EUR/USD the pair has established session high on $1,2700 then it was corrected in area $1,2650. Offers $1.2700.

GBP/USD the rate has become stronger from area $1,4655, but could not overcome resistance in the field of Friday’s high on $1,4955.
USD/JPY having decreased from area sessional a maximum on Y97,50 in area Y96,30, the yen has returned the most part of today's losses.

Among data published today the attention should be turned on NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index (November) at 13:30 GMT, and also US industrial production for October which will be published at 14:15 GMT.






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