18.11.2008 16:03

European session: [M]


The following data were published:

00:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes (Nov)
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Sep) 100.9 89,2 89,2
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Sep) 89.4 100,8 100,8
09:30 UK RPI-X (October) Y/Y 4.7% 5,5%
09:30 UK Retail prices (October) Y/Y 4.2% 5,0%
09:30 UK Retail prices (October) 0,1% 0,5%
09:30 UK HICP ex EFAT (October) Y/Y 2,2% 2,2%
09:30 UK HICP (October) Y/Y 4.5% 5,2%
09:30 UK HICP (October) -0.2% 0,1% 0,5%

The yen gained against the euro and the dollar as stocks tumbled on the prospect of a global recession, prompting investors to sell higher-yielding assets to pay back low-cost loans in Japan's currency.
The yen also rose against the Australian dollar after the Reserve Bank of Australia said it favored lower borrowing costs. The dollar advanced against the euro amid speculation overseas investors bought more of the safest U.S. assets as the global economy slumps.
``Weaker equities are playing into the theme of risk aversion, which is supporting the yen,'' said Derek Halpenny, head of global currency strategy in London at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi Ltd. ``We are going to see the dollar gradually drift lower against the yen if this scenario continues.''
The yen's rise came as stocks in Europe and Asia declined for a second day, led by financial companies and commodity producers, and U.S. index futures fell on concern the deepening recession will erode profits.
``The yen continues to gain momentum today because of the retraction in risk appetite,'' said Neil Jones, head of European hedge fund sales in London at Mizuho Capital Markets. ``The world is not over the worst of things so the next big leg ahead for the yen is to strengthen.'' The dollar may fall to 86 yen by March, he said.
``I am very, very bullish on the dollar,'' said Michael Klawitter, a currency strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort in Frankfurt. ``The main story that we are seeing at the moment is the high perception of risk and that leading to capital repatriation back into the U.S.'' The U.S. currency may gain to $1.05 per euro and 103 yen by June, Klawitter forecast.

EUR/USD got support at $1.2570, before bounced back to the middle of the day's range $1.2630.


GBP/USD having tested session low in the wake of the weaker inflation data, bounced back above $1.5000 mark. Bids remain at $1.4950. Offers spotted at $1.5090/00, with stops above the figure.

JPY/USD from the ares of Y96.80 fell to 96.00.

Overseas investors probably bought a net $27.2 billion of U.S. assets in September, from $14 billion in August. The Treasury will release the report at 1400 GMT today. At 1330 GMT US PPI data are due along with Housing Market Index at 1800 GMT.






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