02.07.2009 11:13

FOREX: Wednesday’s review


Data released

05:00 Japan Housing starts (May) Y/Y -30.8% -27.8% -32.4%
05:00 Japan Construction orders (May) Y/Y -41.9% - -25.9%
06:00 UK Nationwide house price index (June) 0.9% 0.2% 1.2%
06:00 UK Nationwide house price index (June) Y/Y -9.3% -10.1% -11.3%
06:45 France PPI (May) -0.3% 0.1% -0.6%
06:45 France PPI (May)Y/Y -7.8% - -5.5%
07:55 Germany Unemployment (June) seasonally adjusted +31K +45K +1K
07:55 Germany Unemployment (June) seasonally adjusted, mln 3.495 - 3.456
07:55 Germany Unemployment rate (June) seasonally adjusted 8.3% 8.3% 8.2%
07:55 Germany Unemployment (June) seasonally unadjusted, mln 3.410 - 3.458
07:55 Germany Unemployment rate (June) seasonally unadjusted 8.1% - 8.2%
08:00 Italy PPI (May) -0.2% -0.1% -0.5%
08:00 Italy PPI (May) Y/Y -6.1% - -5.3%
08:00 EU(16) M3 money supply (May) adjusted Y/Y 3.7% 4.6% 4.9%
08:00 EU(16) M3 money supply (3 months to May) adjusted Y/Y 4.5% 4.9% 5.2%
08:30 UK GDP (Q1) final -2.4% -1.9% -1.9%
08:30 UK GDP (Q1) final Y/Y -4.9% -4.1% -4.1%
08:30 UK Current account (Q1), bln -8.5 -6.7 -8.8 (-7.6)
09:00 Italy CPI (June) preliminary 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
09:00 Italy CPI (June) preliminary Y/Y 0.5% 0.5% 0.9%
09:00 Italy HICP (June) preliminary Y/Y 0.6% - 0.8%
09:00 EU(16) Harmonized CPI (June) Y/Y preliminary -0.1% -0.2% 0.0%
12:55 USA Redbook (27.06)
13:45 USA Chicago PMI (June) 39.9 38.4 34.9
14:00 USA Consumer confidence (June) 49.3 55.2 54.8 (54.9)
23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan survey (Q2) -48 -43 -58

The yen declined to a two-week low against the euro as China’s manufacturing expanded in June for a fourth month, increasing demand for higher-yielding assets on bets the global recession is easing.
Japan’s currency also weakened as a report showed U.S. manufacturing shrank in June at the slowest pace in 10 months. The yen weakened after the Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan survey showed sentiment among the largest manufacturers rose less than economists forecast. The index of sentiment among large makers of electronics, cars and other products climbed to -48 in June from -58 in March, the central bank said in Tokyo. The median forecast of economists was for a reading of -43.
The Australian dollar gained versus the yen after a report showed the nation’s retail sales climbed for a third month. The statistics bureau reported retail sales gained 1% in May from the previous month, when they climbed 0.3%.
The benchmark interest rate is 0.1% in Japan, compared with 1% in the 16-nation euro region, 3% in Australia and 2.5% in New Zealand.
The euro strengthened against the dollar as every stock market in Europe advanced. The euro gained against the dollar as a government report showed retail sales in Germany, Europe’s largest economy, unexpectedly rose for a third month in May, strengthening the case for the European Central Bank to keep interest rates unchanged tomorrow. ECB member Axel Weber, who heads the Bundesbank, said last week policy makers have used up their scope to cut rates.

EUR/USD printed low on $1.4000 before rising to $1.4080. After some correction to $1.4042 rate resumed its rise up to $1.4202. Later euro retreated to $1.4135.


GBP/USD initially declined to $1.6380 before recovered and printed highs on $1.6540. Later rate retreated to $1.6461.

USD/JPY rose from Y96.16 to Y96.90 before sliding to Y96.70.

The main events for the session are US labor data and the 1145GMT interest rate decision from the ECB, followed by the usual press conference at 1230GMT. US markets are closed for the Independence Day holidays tomorrow, which brought the US labor market forward by a day, although there is no early close planned for today.






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